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Part C - Economic Structure and Performance
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Chapter Cb - Business Fluctuations and Cycles
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Table Group Cb9-34 - Business Cycle Indicators
Contributor
Richard Sutch
Table Cb32-34 - NBER composite cyclical indicators: 1959-2003
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Cb32
Cb33
Cb34
Composite coincident index
Composite leading index
Recession index
Row
Year
Month
Index July 1967 = 100
Percent
Percent
1
1959
2
71.5
2.9
----
2
1959
3
71.6
2.9
----
3
1959
4
73.1
2.9
----
4
1959
5
73.9
2.9
----
5
1959
6
74.2
2.9
----
6
1959
7
73.4
2.9
----
7
1959
8
72.0
2.9
----
8
1959
9
71.6
2.9
----
9
1959
10
71.3
2.9
----
10
1959
11
71.7
2.9
----
11
1959
12
74.2
2.9
----
12
1960
1
75.2
2.9
----
13
1960
2
75.1
4.8
----
14
1960
3
74.6
2.2
----
15
1960
4
74.5
0.3
----
16
1960
5
74.2
-2.0
----
17
1960
6
73.7
-2.9
----
18
1960
7
73.5
-2.6
----
19
1960
8
73.5
-0.5
----
20
1960
9
73.2
-0.7
----
21
1960
10
73.1
-0.8
----
22
1960
11
72.6
-1.5
----
23
1960
12
71.5
-0.5
----
24
1961
1
71.3
1.2
21
25
1961
2
71.3
-0.2
29
26
1961
3
71.7
1.3
13
27
1961
4
72.3
3.0
4
28
1961
5
72.9
4.5
2
29
1961
6
73.8
6.2
1
30
1961
7
74.2
6.0
1
31
1961
8
74.8
6.8
1
32
1961
9
74.8
5.6
1
33
1961
10
75.7
6.0
1
34
1961
11
76.6
6.1
1
35
1961
12
77.0
5.8
1
36
1962
1
76.5
6.1
1
37
1962
2
77.2
7.2
1
38
1962
3
77.7
5.6
1
39
1962
4
78.2
4.9
2
40
1962
5
78.3
3.0
5
41
1962
6
78.3
3.0
6
42
1962
7
78.5
2.9
6
43
1962
8
78.7
2.5
6
44
1962
9
79.0
3.7
3
45
1962
10
79.1
4.1
2
46
1962
11
79.5
3.9
3
47
1962
12
79.3
4.5
2
48
1963
1
79.5
5.2
1
49
1963
2
80.0
5.8
1
50
1963
3
80.4
6.4
1
51
1963
4
81.0
6.6
1
52
1963
5
81.5
7.8
1
53
1963
6
81.8
6.4
1
54
1963
7
81.9
4.7
4
55
1963
8
81.9
3.4
7
56
1963
9
82.4
4.0
6
57
1963
10
82.9
4.4
5
58
1963
11
83.0
3.6
5
59
1963
12
83.2
4.5
3
60
1964
1
83.3
5.0
2
61
1964
2
84.0
6.1
2
62
1964
3
84.1
5.0
3
63
1964
4
85.0
3.5
5
64
1964
5
85.5
3.4
5
65
1964
6
85.8
3.8
4
66
1964
7
86.2
5.4
2
67
1964
8
86.5
6.5
1
68
1964
9
86.9
6.0
1
69
1964
10
86.3
4.9
3
70
1964
11
87.7
5.8
3
71
1964
12
88.8
4.5
3
72
1965
1
89.5
4.9
2
73
1965
2
89.9
4.8
2
74
1965
3
90.7
5.0
2
75
1965
4
91.1
5.3
2
76
1965
5
91.5
4.6
2
77
1965
6
91.7
5.3
2
78
1965
7
92.3
5.2
2
79
1965
8
92.7
5.1
2
80
1965
9
92.9
5.7
2
81
1965
10
93.8
6.9
1
82
1965
11
94.5
7.5
1
83
1965
12
95.5
7.8
1
84
1966
1
96.2
8.1
1
85
1966
2
96.7
6.6
1
86
1966
3
97.7
6.8
1
87
1966
4
97.8
5.7
2
88
1966
5
98.0
3.7
5
89
1966
6
98.5
0.8
18
90
1966
7
98.8
0.0
28
91
1966
8
99.0
1.5
12
92
1966
9
99.4
2.4
7
93
1966
10
99.9
2.3
5
94
1966
11
99.8
1.9
12
95
1966
12
100.0
0.5
24
96
1967
1
100.4
1.8
16
97
1967
2
99.8
-1.3
54
98
1967
3
99.7
-1.5
50
99
1967
4
99.9
0.2
20
100
1967
5
99.6
1.9
8
101
1967
6
100.0
5.6
1
102
1967
7
100.0
5.7
2
103
1967
8
101.0
6.3
2
104
1967
9
101.1
5.5
3
105
1967
10
101.4
6.3
2
106
1967
11
102.5
5.8
2
107
1967
12
103.5
6.1
1
108
1968
1
103.3
6.1
1
109
1968
2
103.7
7.2
1
110
1968
3
104.0
7.5
1
111
1968
4
104.1
4.8
5
112
1968
5
104.8
3.9
7
113
1968
6
105.3
2.5
9
114
1968
7
105.8
1.9
10
115
1968
8
105.9
3.0
8
116
1968
9
106.3
5.0
3
117
1968
10
106.7
5.1
3
118
1968
11
107.5
5.3
2
119
1968
12
107.6
4.3
4
120
1969
1
108.0
5.1
3
121
1969
2
108.3
5.6
3
122
1969
3
108.9
3.5
8
123
1969
4
109.0
1.8
19
124
1969
5
109.1
-0.9
53
125
1969
6
109.6
-1.8
62
126
1969
7
110.0
-1.9
57
127
1969
8
110.5
-1.8
52
128
1969
9
110.7
-2.1
62
129
1969
10
111.0
-1.5
47
130
1969
11
110.3
-1.5
49
131
1969
12
110.2
-0.2
38
132
1970
1
109.0
-2.8
76
133
1970
2
108.9
-3.0
75
134
1970
3
108.7
-1.8
59
135
1970
4
108.5
-1.7
61
136
1970
5
108.3
-1.9
67
137
1970
6
108.1
-3.0
79
138
1970
7
108.4
-2.4
57
139
1970
8
108.3
-0.2
21
140
1970
9
107.5
1.6
9
141
1970
10
106.3
2.4
9
142
1970
11
105.7
2.3
11
143
1970
12
107.1
4.0
2
144
1971
1
107.9
3.4
1
145
1971
2
108.1
3.2
1
146
1971
3
108.2
4.6
1
147
1971
4
108.6
5.3
1
148
1971
5
109.0
7.0
1
149
1971
6
109.4
7.2
1
150
1971
7
109.1
6.2
2
151
1971
8
109.1
5.0
5
152
1971
9
109.9
4.5
3
153
1971
10
110.1
4.6
2
154
1971
11
111.0
5.4
1
155
1971
12
112.1
6.3
1
156
1972
1
113.6
8.1
1
157
1972
2
114.1
8.1
1
158
1972
3
114.8
5.9
1
159
1972
4
115.7
5.8
1
160
1972
5
116.0
5.6
1
161
1972
6
116.2
5.6
1
162
1972
7
116.3
7.0
1
163
1972
8
117.5
8.1
1
164
1972
9
118.4
8.8
1
165
1972
10
119.8
9.6
1
166
1972
11
121.0
9.0
1
167
1972
12
122.2
10.8
1
168
1973
1
122.8
8.9
1
169
1973
2
123.9
6.7
3
170
1973
3
124.2
4.6
8
171
1973
4
124.1
3.1
11
172
1973
5
124.5
3.7
8
173
1973
6
124.6
2.7
25
174
1973
7
125.2
-0.9
69
175
1973
8
124.7
-2.1
85
176
1973
9
125.2
-1.7
65
177
1973
10
126.0
-1.8
40
178
1973
11
127.1
-2.5
32
179
1973
12
127.0
-1.6
20
180
1974
1
126.4
0.2
11
181
1974
2
125.9
1.5
16
182
1974
3
125.8
1.7
44
183
1974
4
125.0
-1.2
88
184
1974
5
125.7
-3.4
96
185
1974
6
125.8
-8.1
100
186
1974
7
125.9
-8.6
99
187
1974
8
125.0
-11.0
99
188
1974
9
124.7
-10.5
96
189
1974
10
124.3
-8.8
90
190
1974
11
121.9
-10.5
97
191
1974
12
119.1
-6.3
84
192
1975
1
117.9
-5.7
82
193
1975
2
116.3
-5.4
80
194
1975
3
115.1
-3.2
71
195
1975
4
115.0
-0.3
28
196
1975
5
115.1
2.8
4
197
1975
6
115.7
3.8
2
198
1975
7
116.1
5.5
1
199
1975
8
117.3
5.3
1
200
1975
9
118.3
5.0
1
201
1975
10
118.7
5.5
1
202
1975
11
118.9
5.6
1
203
1975
12
119.8
6.0
1
204
1976
1
121.4
6.3
1
205
1976
2
122.4
6.2
1
206
1976
3
122.7
6.1
1
207
1976
4
123.2
6.5
1
208
1976
5
123.5
5.4
1
209
1976
6
123.7
4.8
1
210
1976
7
124.2
6.6
1
211
1976
8
124.4
7.0
1
212
1976
9
124.7
8.0
1
213
1976
10
124.8
6.9
1
214
1976
11
126.1
7.3
1
215
1976
12
127.2
7.6
1
216
1977
1
126.7
6.3
1
217
1977
2
128.1
7.7
1
218
1977
3
129.3
8.4
1
219
1977
4
130.1
8.4
1
220
1977
5
130.8
7.6
1
221
1977
6
131.3
7.7
1
222
1977
7
131.9
6.4
1
223
1977
8
132.2
6.1
1
224
1977
9
132.9
6.0
2
225
1977
10
133.6
6.0
2
226
1977
11
134.2
6.7
2
227
1977
12
134.5
6.9
2
228
1978
1
133.1
5.2
5
229
1978
2
133.8
5.1
5
230
1978
3
135.7
5.5
4
231
1978
4
138.7
6.7
2
232
1978
5
139.3
4.8
5
233
1978
6
140.0
5.3
4
234
1978
7
139.9
3.5
12
235
1978
8
140.3
2.8
16
236
1978
9
140.6
2.8
20
237
1978
10
141.4
3.1
27
238
1978
11
142.4
3.2
20
239
1978
12
143.2
3.8
12
240
1979
1
142.7
0.4
31
241
1979
2
142.8
0.5
26
242
1979
3
143.8
4.5
5
243
1979
4
142.0
4.0
6
244
1979
5
143.3
4.4
7
245
1979
6
143.5
3.7
10
246
1979
7
143.8
1.8
27
247
1979
8
143.5
0.1
61
248
1979
9
143.3
-0.8
82
249
1979
10
143.5
-3.6
94
250
1979
11
143.6
-5.2
95
251
1979
12
143.8
-5.0
91
252
1980
1
144.2
-3.6
88
253
1980
2
144.0
-4.4
99
254
1980
3
143.0
-8.3
99
255
1980
4
140.8
-5.9
66
256
1980
5
138.6
-4.3
56
257
1980
6
137.5
-0.9
34
258
1980
7
136.8
2.1
32
259
1980
8
137.7
2.2
32
260
1980
9
139.3
3.0
28
261
1980
10
141.1
0.7
56
262
1980
11
142.6
-2.1
90
263
1980
12
143.2
-2.3
75
264
1981
1
143.2
-0.8
48
265
1981
2
142.7
-0.2
32
266
1981
3
142.7
0.6
32
267
1981
4
141.7
-1.3
74
268
1981
5
142.1
-2.4
71
269
1981
6
142.5
-3.8
86
270
1981
7
143.2
-5.1
89
271
1981
8
143.1
-5.8
91
272
1981
9
141.6
-4.5
84
273
1981
10
141.1
-3.6
64
274
1981
11
140.4
-2.5
53
275
1981
12
139.4
-2.1
56
276
1982
1
137.3
-2.2
72
277
1982
2
139.0
-1.0
43
278
1982
3
138.8
-2.0
44
279
1982
4
138.4
-2.5
48
280
1982
5
138.0
-2.0
64
281
1982
6
137.4
-2.3
66
282
1982
7
136.7
-0.3
29
283
1982
8
135.7
-2.4
56
284
1982
9
135.3
-1.8
28
285
1982
10
134.3
1.2
9
286
1982
11
134.1
1.8
7
287
1982
12
133.8
4.7
1
288
1983
1
135.5
6.7
1
289
1983
2
134.9
6.8
1
290
1983
3
135.9
7.1
1
291
1983
4
137.2
7.7
1
292
1983
5
138.1
8.6
1
293
1983
6
138.9
8.7
1
294
1983
7
140.5
8.3
1
295
1983
8
140.9
6.0
1
296
1983
9
142.6
5.1
1
297
1983
10
143.9
6.8
1
298
1983
11
144.6
6.9
1
299
1983
12
145.9
6.9
1
300
1984
1
147.8
8.4
1
301
1984
2
148.6
9.3
1
302
1984
3
149.1
7.5
1
303
1984
4
150.3
6.1
1
304
1984
5
150.8
4.8
3
305
1984
6
151.4
4.3
2
306
1984
7
151.8
3.1
3
307
1984
8
152.3
2.0
2
308
1984
9
152.4
2.4
2
309
1984
10
152.2
2.5
2
310
1984
11
152.9
5.4
1
311
1984
12
153.3
6.2
1
312
1985
1
153.3
6.6
1
313
1985
2
153.5
6.8
1
314
1985
3
154.0
5.6
1
315
1985
4
154.0
5.4
1
316
1985
5
154.6
5.1
1
317
1985
6
154.5
5.9
1
318
1985
7
154.1
5.5
1
319
1985
8
155.0
5.3
1
320
1985
9
155.5
6.2
1
321
1985
10
155.7
4.8
3
322
1985
11
156.0
3.5
5
323
1985
12
156.6
4.5
3
324
1986
1
157.2
4.7
4
325
1986
2
156.7
3.1
9
326
1986
3
156.7
4.0
5
327
1986
4
157.5
4.3
4
328
1986
5
157.4
2.3
16
329
1986
6
157.2
1.3
28
330
1986
7
157.3
2.5
13
331
1986
8
157.7
3.6
5
332
1986
9
158.7
3.0
6
333
1986
10
158.8
2.4
8
334
1986
11
159.2
1.6
11
335
1986
12
160.2
4.3
3
336
1987
1
159.5
3.2
9
337
1987
2
161.4
2.9
12
338
1987
3
161.7
2.4
15
339
1987
4
161.6
0.7
37
340
1987
5
162.4
0.0
40
341
1987
6
163.2
1.0
15
342
1987
7
164.1
1.8
6
343
1987
8
164.8
0.8
13
344
1987
9
164.6
-0.8
45
345
1987
10
166.1
-0.2
33
346
1987
11
166.7
-0.7
40
347
1987
12
167.7
0.4
17
348
1988
1
167.7
0.3
13
349
1988
2
168.7
2.2
3
350
1988
3
169.5
3.1
2
351
1988
4
170.3
2.6
5
352
1988
5
170.3
2.7
7
353
1988
6
170.6
2.9
4
354
1988
7
171.0
1.3
9
355
1988
8
171.4
1.1
8
356
1988
9
171.5
1.4
9
357
1988
10
172.5
2.7
7
358
1988
11
172.8
3.0
12
359
1988
12
173.8
2.6
13
360
1989
1
174.3
2.4
13
361
1989
2
173.9
0.7
19
362
1989
3
174.0
-0.1
23
363
1989
4
174.5
1.4
10
364
1989
5
173.8
2.1
8
365
1989
6
173.4
1.9
9
366
1989
7
172.5
1.3
19
367
1989
8
173.7
1.1
19
368
1989
9
173.6
0.7
24
369
1989
10
173.6
2.0
14
370
1989
11
174.5
2.5
11
371
1989
12
174.9
4.0
5
372
1990
1
174.5
6.4
3
373
1990
2
175.6
3.8
10
374
1990
3
176.3
0.9
15
375
1990
4
175.6
-0.3
23
376
1990
5
176.0
-0.2
21
377
1990
6
176.7
1.1
12
378
1990
7
176.6
2.0
11
379
1990
8
176.7
2.0
17
380
1990
9
176.0
0.4
39
381
1990
10
174.7
-0.3
47
382
1990
11
173.3
-0.7
52
383
1990
12
172.7
-0.9
44
384
1991
1
171.5
-1.1
40
385
1991
2
170.8
-0.6
32
386
1991
3
170.5
0.4
20
387
1991
4
170.9
0.2
14
388
1991
5
171.8
1.2
7
389
1991
6
172.5
1.6
6
390
1991
7
172.7
2.3
3
391
1991
8
172.8
2.6
4
392
1991
9
173.4
2.4
4
393
1991
10
173.2
2.1
5
394
1991
11
173.0
2.1
8
395
1991
12
172.4
4.0
3
396
1992
1
172.4
4.7
1
397
1992
2
173.3
4.8
1
398
1992
3
173.9
3.1
1
399
1992
4
174.7
2.8
1
400
1992
5
175.0
2.4
2
401
1992
6
175.2
2.6
2
402
1992
7
175.9
3.5
2
403
1992
8
175.2
3.3
3
404
1992
9
175.8
4.3
1
405
1992
10
176.5
3.9
1
406
1992
11
177.2
2.8
1
407
1992
12
179.1
3.3
1
408
1993
1
178.2
3.4
1
409
1993
2
178.5
3.8
1
410
1993
3
178.2
2.2
4
411
1993
4
179.3
2.5
4
412
1993
5
179.6
2.9
4
413
1993
6
180.2
3.2
3
414
1993
7
180.3
3.7
2
415
1993
8
180.3
3.8
2
416
1993
9
181.2
4.1
2
417
1993
10
182.0
4.3
1
418
1993
11
182.8
4.5
1
419
1993
12
184.6
5.4
1
420
1994
1
183.7
4.7
1
421
1994
2
183.9
4.9
1
422
1994
3
185.8
5.2
2
423
1994
4
187.0
4.4
4
424
1994
5
188.0
3.2
8
425
1994
6
188.6
2.9
8
426
1994
7
188.8
2.5
8
427
1994
8
189.9
3.1
5
428
1994
9
190.4
3.6
5
429
1994
10
191.7
3.3
6
430
1994
11
192.3
1.8
17
431
1994
12
193.8
2.3
9
432
1995
1
194.5
2.0
7
433
1995
2
194.5
1.8
8
434
1995
3
194.3
2.1
11
435
1995
4
193.9
3.0
10
436
1995
5
194.0
3.3
9
437
1995
6
194.8
3.7
5
438
1995
7
194.8
3.6
5
439
1995
8
196.3
3.2
5
440
1995
9
196.8
2.3
7
441
1995
10
196.8
1.9
8
442
1995
11
197.5
2.7
6
443
1995
12
198.0
3.5
4
444
1996
1
196.0
4.4
3
445
1996
2
198.3
5.2
2
446
1996
3
198.7
3.6
5
447
1996
4
200.0
3.3
7
448
1996
5
201.1
4.0
5
449
1996
6
202.3
4.6
3
450
1996
7
202.5
3.4
4
451
1996
8
203.6
3.2
5
452
1996
9
204.4
2.8
5
453
1996
10
205.0
3.9
3
454
1996
11
206.2
4.8
2
455
1996
12
206.6
4.7
2
456
1997
1
205.5
3.8
3
457
1997
2
207.0
3.5
4
458
1997
3
207.7
2.7
6
459
1997
4
208.8
1.9
10
460
1997
5
209.1
1.7
13
461
1997
6
209.9
3.2
6
462
1997
7
210.9
4.5
2
463
1997
8
212.2
4.4
3
464
1997
9
213.5
3.5
3
465
1997
10
214.4
3.4
5
466
1997
11
215.4
3.5
5
467
1997
12
216.2
3.4
4
468
1998
1
217.4
4.1
2
469
1998
2
218.2
4.8
3
470
1998
3
218.9
4.4
4
471
1998
4
219.4
3.8
6
472
1998
5
220.2
3.0
7
473
1998
6
220.0
2.2
9
474
1998
7
220.1
2.1
10
475
1998
8
222.0
3.1
8
476
1998
9
222.1
2.4
12
477
1998
10
223.3
4.7
6
478
1998
11
223.7
4.2
9
479
1998
12
224.7
3.8
8
480
1999
1
225.3
3.8
7
481
1999
2
226.3
2.8
7
482
1999
3
226.9
1.9
9
483
1999
4
227.2
2.1
6
484
1999
5
228.0
2.9
4
485
1999
6
228.7
3.3
5
486
1999
7
229.5
3.3
7
487
1999
8
230.3
3.1
8
488
1999
9
230.0
1.6
19
489
1999
10
231.5
3.3
9
490
1999
11
232.8
3.4
7
491
1999
12
234.3
3.7
5
492
2000
1
235.6
4.2
4
493
2000
2
236.1
3.6
4
494
2000
3
236.8
3.4
4
495
2000
4
237.8
2.7
5
496
2000
5
238.2
1.6
13
497
2000
6
238.3
3.1
6
498
2000
7
238.2
3.8
5
499
2000
8
237.9
3.4
5
500
2000
9
238.5
3.5
5
501
2000
10
238.2
3.6
7
502
2000
11
238.0
3.6
9
503
2000
12
237.5
3.2
7
504
2001
1
236.8
4.6
4
505
2001
2
236.3
4.1
6
506
2001
3
235.8
3.9
5
507
2001
4
234.8
3.0
6
508
2001
5
234.2
2.7
7
509
2001
6
233.2
0.7
22
510
2001
7
233.5
1.2
18
511
2001
8
233.7
2.4
8
512
2001
9
232.0
0.9
18
513
2001
10
231.5
0.3
27
514
2001
11
230.8
0.6
23
515
2001
12
231.0
2.2
7
516
2002
1
231.7
3.4
2
517
2002
2
231.4
3.8
2
518
2002
3
231.8
3.5
3
519
2002
4
232.1
2.3
7
520
2002
5
232.6
3.0
6
521
2002
6
233.4
3.8
4
522
2002
7
233.7
3.9
4
523
2002
8
233.8
3.0
5
524
2002
9
233.5
3.4
3
525
2002
10
233.0
3.1
4
526
2002
11
233.2
2.3
8
527
2002
12
232.4
3.2
8
528
2003
1
233.3
2.9
9
529
2003
2
232.3
1.9
12
530
2003
3
231.8
1.2
15
531
2003
4
231.3
1.1
17
532
2003
5
231.5
2.4
10
533
2003
6
231.5
3.4
6
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